Emerging Markets

December 2009

Hepatitis C Virus in Russia

Report Authors
Alexandra Makarova, M.D., Ph.D.
Natalia Reoutova, M.Sc.
Alison Mathewson, M.S., Ph.D.

Introduction:

The prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in Russia is nearly three-fourths of the HCV prevalence in the United States. Russia also has a large diagnosed population and relatively low treatment rates. The expected rise in government healthcare spending will expand the availability of more-expensive and more-efficacious therapies to HCV patients and will be one of the major factors driving market growth.

Questions Answered in This Report:

  *   Approximately 2% of Russia’s population is infected with HCV, but only a small proportion of patients receive treatment. How will the HCV diagnosis and drug-treatment rates change over 2008-2013? What factors will influence the changes in diagnosis and drug-treatment rates?

  *   The price of a treatment regimen is the major factor influencing Russian clinicians’ choice of therapy for HCV. How do clinicians perceive pegylated interferons compared with conventional interferons? How do clinicians perceive generics compared with branded products?

  *   The majority of HCV therapy sales in Russia in 2008 occurred within the government reimbursement segment of the market. Where are the key opportunities for growth in the HCV antiviral market? Which agents will drive market growth over the forecast period? Which drugs will dominate the market in 2013?

Scope:

Market covered: Russia

Primary research: 90 clinicians surveyed in Moscow, Novosibirsk, and St. Petersburg. Separate in-depth interviews with 10 Russian medical and regulatory experts.

Epidemiology: Prevalence of HCV in Russia over a ten-year period (2008-2018) based on age and gender, major city, and stage of disease (i.e., chronic versus acute).

Market forecast features: Our analysis evaluates rates of chronic HCV diagnosis and rates of drug treatment with HCV therapies. We include a detailed forecast for two HCV drug classes and leading products from 2008 through 2018, using a combination of historical trend analysis and an epidemiology-based, bottom-up market model.

Search Reports

Mentioned in this report:

  • - Feron
  • - Human Genome Sciences
  • - Johnson & Johnson
  • - Merck
  • - Mitsubishi Tanabe
  • - Novartis
  • - Roche
  • - Schering-Plough
  • - Tibotec
  • - Valeant
  • - Vector
  • - Vertex